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Tsunami Support

Posted by Levi on Dec 29th, 2004
2004
Dec 29

Sorry if this is a bit off-topic, but if any off-topic subject deserves posting, it’s this one. The recent Tsunami that caused such devistation and loss of life in South Asia may not effect many of us directly, but the images and the mounting death toll that we keep hearing about through news reports has made many of us eager to help, if only in some small way. Money won’t bring back lives, but it could make things at least slightly easier for the survivors of this disaster. I’ve been traveling this week and so time and internet access has not been plentiful, but I wanted to at least point to others who’ve been able to amass some information about giving support. Ben Rosenbaum, a good friend of ours, has compiled a nice list of aid organizations with additional information about them, ratings, etc., so you can make your own decision as to which places make most sense for you to donate to. Our hearts go out to all those effected by this tragedy. The sheer numbers just boggle the mind.

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Blog Explosion (with Karate?)

Posted by Levi on Dec 20th, 2004
2004
Dec 20

In my relentless attempt to take over the world (as Dawn and Drew would say), I’ve started looking at this interesting Blogging tool called Blog Explosion. After signing up, you surf other people’s blogs and for each blog you can rate it on a scale of 1 to 10, add comments, bookmark it, or blacklist it. As you build up credits, they can be used to direct other Blog Explosion members to your blog - an exchange of eyeballs so to speak.

While good in theory, there are definitely loopholes. For example, while you have to do some manual stuff in order to surf to the next blog in line, and you have to wait 30 seconds in between blog viewings, there is nothing that forces you to actually read a blog. You could easily go do something else in a different browser window and then switch back.

That being said, I still think it’s useful. I have found a number of interesting blogs which I doubt I’d ever have noticed in my ordinary subscription to a handful of major (and a few minor) blogs. There are few if any “A-list” blogs, and hey, that’s a good thing, right? While it’s good to have a sense for those more popular blogs, part of the essence of blogging is getting to read stuff from people who are NOT major headline makers either in the blogosphere or in the mainstream press, and let’s face it, these two worlds are bound to start merging any day, if they haven’t already!

The other nice part of this is that it’s a pyramid scheme! Ok, maybe not quite that bad, but kinda. You can refer people and those people will contribute to your credits when they visit other blogs. Apparently there are five levels, so it’s not as bad as it could be, I suppose.

I’ve only been using this for a week or so, so I’m still not 100% sold on the idea, but it’s worth trying out at least. That’s what I’m doing for now – until the referrals come in and then I can just sit back and watch the profits roll in, yeah, baby! No, no, I don’t even expect to get any folks under me. But it is kind of cool that you can manually drive people to your site, even if they take one look at go off to play solitaire until my 30 seconds are up. Some people will actually find something of interest and may just stick around for longer – as I’ve done on not a small number of occasions…

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A Battle Call to Treo Hardware Hackers

Posted by Levi on Dec 18th, 2004
2004
Dec 18

Ok, guys, you were able to do the “impossible” and set up a way to receive wifi on the Treo 650. My big question now is, if this was possible, why not memory? The other big complaint we’ve had as far as the Treo 650 is concerned is it’s lack of additional memory and the fact that the new file system has actually made it so that the effective amount of memory has DECREASED. I’m no hacker or electrical engineer, so I have no idea how difficult this is, but what about hacking the Treo 650 and seeing if we can add a bunch more memory to the thing? Granted, this might be a job only for those fairly experienced with a soldering iron, but just the ability to do this would give people hope. And just think at the enterprising folk who could take the information provided and develop a business plan around it! So, what do you think? Can it be done? How hard would it be?

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How Sweet It Is!

Posted by Levi on Dec 17th, 2004
2004
Dec 17

I’ve always been more of a “salt” person than a sugar person, but given the right sweets, I’ll suck deserts down with the best of them. This can be problematic if you’re watching your weight, or simply trying to avoid huge swings in insulin that could bring on insulin resistance and eventually diabetes (or of course if you already have one of these conditions). Of course, if you’re on a low-carb diet, sugar is not exactly your friend.

So, people have turned to the sugar “substitute” or “artificial sweetener.” Saccharin was the grandady of these, having been discovered in the 19th century. Concerns about cancer in rats who consumed their own weight in the stuff per day caused Canada to ban saccharin in 1977, while the FDA simply mandated warning labels (since removed). Other than the potential health risks, saccharin also had the disadvantage of having a somewhat bitter aftertaste. Saccharin’s trade name is “Sweet N’ Low.”

Aspartame, which became the main sweetener used in diet soft drinks starting in the 1980’s, has had even more controversy. Firstly it approved by the FDA despite concerns that it might cause brain tumors allegedly because of influence of its owner, the giant Monsanto agribusiness. There have also been concerns that aspartame is a neurotoxin due to its component parts and many people have reported migraine headaches and other physical ailments that are similar to those reported by some consuming MSG. The trade name of aspartame is “NutraSweet” and it’s sold as a substitute in packets by the name “Equal.” Aspartame’s big improvement over saccharin was in its lack of a bitter aftertaste, although it still contains some aftertaste.

The newest big contender in this market is Sucralose, which has approved in the U.S. only in 1998, although in Canada it was approved over ten years ago. The Sucralose molecule basically takes some of the atoms in a sugar molecule – hydrogen and oxygen groups called hydroxyls, and substitutes chlorine, which is thought to make it indigestible by the body. It is thought to taste the most like sugar of all of these substitutes and unlike the others it can be used in cooking. So far there have been no major health concerns with sucralose, despite it’s being studied now for almost 20 years after being discovered almost 30 years ago. It goes under the commercial name “Splenda.” Due to aspartame’s dominance in this category for a decade or two before sucralose came on the scene, it has had a somewhat difficult time supplanting aspartame despite it’s seeming advantages. Only one major soft drink brand (Diet Rite) has adopted its use, and it is still rarely seen accompanying the other two major sugar substitutes in restaurants, although this is starting to change. One factor that has driven a great deal of Splenda’s success is its adoption by low-carb dieters who saw it as a much less risky and better-tasting substitute for something that is basically unacceptable at any level on their diet – sugar. Recently, we’ve heard that not only is Splenda in tight supply due to the surge of popularity, but the company that makes Equal, Chicago-based Merisant, obviously feeling its market share threated, is suing the maker of Splenda for false advertising.

Speaking of low-carb, in order to continue to eat sweets, many low-carbers have turned to low-carb sweets like candies, and even attempt their own baking creations. Many of the packaged “low-carb” sweets use primarily what are termed “sugar alcohols.” Splenda might be a better choice, but in the quantities needed to sweeten candy and other deserts, it would be so prohibitive that the products could not be sold except in very high-end gourmet specialty stores in Beverly Hills! Xylitol, sorbitol, and maltitol are just some of the many of these sugar alcohols. The theory is that they are only partially digested (different ones get absorbed at different rates and these rates also depend on the person consuming them), and that they do not raise blood sugar levels and the accompanying insulin levels. But just because they don’t raise these levels does not necessarily mean that they don’t count in terms of calories or carbs, and thus the controversy. The main problem with these substances other than this is that they have, to varying degrees and depending on the consumer, a laxative affect, especially when consumed in anything more than a small quantity.

So much for better living through chemistry! As I’ve mentioned here before, I adhere (most of the time, although this holiday season is kicking my ass) to a diet based on the Protein Power books by Dr.’s Michael R. and Mary Dan Eades, and have done so for over four years now. While their diet is low in carbs, they have a much more holistic view of eating and health than simply eating a certain way to lose weight. So, they recommend organic produce, free-range or grass-fed animals, lots of fresh veggies, and some fruits as well. While one can certainly eat plenty of veggies on Atkins, the tone of his earlier books, I think, gave some people (including his critics), a misconception that it was only about eating meat, cheese, and fat. The Eadeses, on the other hand, are clearly about eating a varied diet full of vegetables in addition to meats, fish, dairy, nuts, seeds, fruits and other whole foods. Low-carb dieters, I feel, get a bad rap because they seem to be doing something “faddish” by eating foods that the “experts” have been recommending against for so long. Of course some people do jump on the bandwagon because they hear about it as being popular, effective in producing some quick results, and with the added benefit of allowing you to eat foods a whole lot tastier than celery and skim milk. Some of these people don’t take the time to learn about how to eat or why to eat one way as opposed to another, so when they get sick of their skewed perception of what the diet should be, they go off and regain the weight.

It may seem odd to some that their might be some folks like myself who are both big low-carb advocates and at the same time big organic, whole foods advocates, but there are plenty of us out there, and I think the Protein Power books were influential for many of us. That being said, I wanted to discuss a couple of other sugar substitutes that adhere more to this holistic approach to eating as opposed to the more synthetic and processed approach taken by much of the food industry (including many low-fat products).

Tagatose is probably the newest sugar substitute, or at least the newest one to be approved by the FDA – only last year (2003). It goes by the commercial name “Naturlose.” It’s been used so far in 7-Eleven diet Slurpies, but otherwise has not garnered much commercial notice, perhaps due to cost issues. Tagatose, while not nearly as sweet as the other substitutes – in fact it is a little LESS sweet than sugar – is also the most similar to sugar in taste, texture, behavior when cooked, etc. That’s probably because it essentially IS sugar, but just a mirror version of it called an isomer. It’s sometimes referred to as “left-handed sugar” due to its molecular orientation. For some reason the body doesn’t recognize this as real sugar and only absorbs about 25% of it. It actually occurs in nature, but in fairly small quantities.

Stevia is a substance that comes from a plant and has been used for centuries as a sweetener in South America, although it occurs in other parts of the world as well. The extract can be 200 or more times as sweet as sugar. Depending on the source it can contain some degree of bitterness that has a licorice flavor. While natural, there have been some indications that in large doses it causes infertility in rodents, but otherwise there seems to be no indications of health issues. Nevertheless the FDA deemed it “unsafe” as a food additive and so one can only buy it as a “dietary supplement” and use it personally to sweeten foods for your own consumption. The recent explosion of popularity of low-carb diets has meant that Stevia has gotten more visibility lately and one can now find it more readily in natural food stores at least.

Because I subscribe to a more natural, holistic way of eating, my personal leanings mean that I try to eat substances that are more “natural.” But what does this really mean? While Stevia exists in nature, I doubt it exists in the concentrations that are available in commercial extracts. There’s also the oft-heard rebuttle from those who poo-poo natural food advocates that not everything “natural” is good for you – such as poison mushrooms, arsenic, etc. While this may be true, the fact of the matter is that these artificial chemicals are potentially even more risky because they do not occur in nature and so the human body has never evolved to deal with them. Maybe some like Splenda will turn out to have no ill-affect, and certainly others like Aspartame while potentially dangerous to some, are completely harmful to others. With natural products, there is at least a slightly better chance that the body can handle them appropriately, the theory being that those who ate something that was potentially harmful had a disadvantage in surviving and so eventually died out.

Up until fairly recently, I had basically taken the position that because none of these substitutes was necessarily perfectly safe as far as we know, that the only thing to do was to avoid all sugar and substitutes. And this is a viable option for some. I took this approach for a while and after a while you do get used to it and your taste buds adapt. You are much better able to taste the natural sweetness in foods when your taste buds aren’t being pounded by huge amounts of sweetness. Of course most coffee is not goint to ever taste at all sweet, no matter how long you’ve gone without sweeteners.

So with this in mind I set out recently to try out some Stevia and found it to be pretty affective. The only thing that I sweeten personally is coffee or occasionally tea, so I’m not sure how it would taste in other foods. I tried two different kinds, one I picked up from Trader Joe’s and is called “Superior Source Sweet ‘n Natural Powder.” One thing about both Stevia and Splenda is that because they are so much sweeter than sugar, they cannot be packaged in pure form. The granuals or whatever their natural form takes would be so miniscule for a single serving that you’d need tweezers to add it to your food! So, manufacturers have generally settled on two methods of packaging. The first, and most prevalent way, is to use a “bulking agent” that is mixed in to dilute the agent and thus allow for larger mass per serving. Unfortunaly the bulking agents used add carbs and calories to the mix, somewhat defeating the purpose. The other method is to use a bulking agent which adds no carbs or calories – water. Obviously, this is less convenient in many ways than a solid buling agent since you can’t make “packets” like sugar, Equal, etc. I guess you could make them, as they do this with more liquid items like katsum, mayo, mustard, etc, but perhaps the cost would make it impractical? In any case, liquid Splenda, while first available in the U.S. several years ago, is no longer. In any case, the Superior Source Sweet ‘n Natural Powder uses a solid bulking agent – that of lactose. Half a teaspoon is plenty to sweeten 8 or even 16 oz’s of coffee as far as I’m concerned. The consistency is something like confectioners sugar – very fine grained “powder.”

The fact that the bulking agent was a sugar made me consider trying one of the water-suspended Stevia products. So I recently went to my local Whole Foods and bought one of the several brands they had available, Sweetleaf’s Stevia Clear Liquid Stevia. It was quite expensive at about $18 for 120ml, but the serving size of 2 drops indicated that I could get 1200 servings, which I thought was a great deal for $18. However, I found I could not taste those two drops in the least. In fact, in order to even get close to the effect of the ½ tsp. of the powder, I had to put in at least 15 drops, which lowered the number of servings to around 150, or more than $.10 per serving. Nothing astronomical, but certaintly not cheap either. I’m curious to try other brands to see if their potency is any better, but for now I think the powder has won out.

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Blogging Whore

Posted by Levi on Dec 16th, 2004
2004
Dec 16

In the spirit of the season, I thought I, like other non-profits, would ask for your support before the year ends. Ok, well, maybe a donation to help me buy a new gadget once in a while (I know this is VERY wishful thinking!) so I can review it for you may not be tax-deductible, but at least I’m not stuffing your mailboxes with paper and mailing labels that few of us use anymore now that there’s internet bill-pay. I can’t say I have huge expectations, but if you do find this blog useful and/or entertaining, and want to throw a few cents my way, I’d be might appreciative! I’ve set up a paypal donate button so if you have a paypal count already it will be a no-brainer.

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I’m in the New York Times!

Posted by Levi on Dec 16th, 2004
2004
Dec 16

I always knew I’d be famous! Ok, well, it’s a start! Mozilla, as part of their promotional effort, asked for donations so that they could post a full-page ad in the New York Times. They got much more than they expected and so were able to post a two-page ad. I haven’t seen it person yet, but they have a png file as well as a much larger pdf file that you can zoom in on. The deal was make a donation, get your name listed, and in fact my name is in there! Yes it means nothing, but it’s still fun to see your name in print – for someone who hasn’t had the pleasure (or agony) of that happening.

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Gmail Invites

Posted by Levi on Dec 16th, 2004
2004
Dec 16

I’ve been holding onto these 6 Gmail invites for quite a while now, offering them to friends every once in a while, but no one has seemed really interested, so I thought I would just offer them up as freebies here on the blog. Click on the link to email me in the upper right corner of my blog and I’ll send one your way. I’ll update this post when they’re all gone.
Updat: One of those who emailed me alerted me to the fact that I had an invalid email link, sorry about that! It’s been fixed.

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Wifi for the Treo 650

Posted by Levi on Dec 16th, 2004
2004
Dec 16

The tech blogs and Treo sites are abuzz today with the news from a TreoCentral member Shadowmite (the same guy who was able to defeat the Sprint Bluetooth crippling) that he had been able to create a firmware hack (hosted here) on the Treo 650 that would allow Pa1mOne’s Wifi card to work. The hack is still in “beta’ if that term can even refer to a hack! The one problem is that in order to have both wifi capability as well as Sprint’s “Vision” 2.5G data network, you need to do a hard reset during the install process, which will wipe all your data. This may not be a big deal for many for the reward of Wifi, and it also may just be a temporary hurdle. Now that the hack exists, it seems that third party companies may indeed take the initiative in developing a wifi card with drivers that will work on the 650 and maybe the 600 as well. The one issue remains that the added drain from the card may make the battery life of the Treo run out much faster than normal, so manufacturers may have to develop some kind of onboard battery for the wifi card, or users may just have to invest in additional batteries for the 650 (or external batteries for the 600).

When I started using the Treo 600 back in June, it was as a trial. A friend of mine had bought it several months earlier and was using it on his AT&T account, but he had recently switched to Verizon because of their better reception. I borrowed it from him to see if I could get it to work on my T-Mobile account. After doing lots of searching and playing around with it, I finally got it to work, but it was not easy.

As I talked about in my post yesterday, because smartphones are inherently tied up in the mobile phone industry, the carrier companies have a huge influence over the phone manufacturers. These companies don’t want to make it easy for me to take my phone from one carrier to another. AT&T was notorious for locking phones and not allowing their unlocking for any reason, which kind of defeats part of the purpose of having a GSM phone. T-Mobile is a little bit better in that they let you unlock your phone usually after a short length of time as long as your account is in good standing. Cingular has historically been the best about unlocking, but now that they have merged with AT&T, I don’t know if these policies will change. Of course you can usually find a completely unlocked GSM phone to work on your given network, but it will come at a premium. And CDMA users are pretty much SOL because they have no interchangeable SIM card.

No doubt, Pa1mOne was pressured by one or more of these companies to not provide wifi drivers for the Treo 600 or 650, and they complied. While this makes a lot of people angry at Pa1mOne, which I’m sure is at least somewhat justified, they are simply complying with the realities of the business. If they were to anger the providers, those providers might just decide not to offer the phone and then Pa1mOne would be giving up huge amounts of potential revenue. So while I too am angry that Pa1mOne did not have the guts to stand up to these companies, I can’t really be too angry, because doing so would be extremely risky for them. With the carriers merging and thus gaining even more power to influence phone manufacturers (who are not merging at all, as far as I can tell!), the situation does not look that promising until manufacturers can gain some kind of strategic advantage that allows them not to be pushed around as much by the carriers.

Thanks to Shadowmite and those who helped him, we may have a hack that will give us the ability to do wifi that should have been included to begin with, despite what the carriers might want.

Link, link, link

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Browser Share

Posted by Levi on Dec 15th, 2004
2004
Dec 15

My friend Eric at Off Wing mentions that he is getting more hits from Firefox. I’ve mentioned how much I love Firefox but hadn’t bothered to check my logs. So just now I went and, holy cow, 21.5% of my hits are coming from Firefox! Another 5.61% are coming from Safari, which is the Mac version of Firefox. IE is still #1 with 62%, but I remember checking just a few months ago, before I knew about Firefox, and IE was up at 90%! Way to go, Mozilla! At this rate FF will overtake IE in another few months.

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The Problem with Smartphones

Posted by Levi on Dec 15th, 2004
2004
Dec 15

A thought occurred to me on my way to work today listening to an Engadget podcast where Phil was reporting from Mobius. The problem I see currently with smartphones is that they can be held hostage by the carrier. They have a lot of functionality that has nothing to do with communication, true, but carriers can affect everything from when phones come out to what kind of hardware they have. This is done partially based on marketing or partnering agreements, and partly on what these companies see as their bottom line.

That’s all fine and good, you say? Maybe. We have a system of capitalism which means that money is the primary measurement of gauging anything. If phone companies can’t make money, they can’t be in business. Of course this is true, but just as many other industries have done in the last 5-10 years, the mobile phone industry has been consolidating. Verizon was one of the first when Bell Atlantic Merged with Vodaphone back in was it 2000? Then Deutche Telecom’s T-Mobile bought Voicestream a few years ago, and finally Cingular just merged with AT&T. Now it’s official that Sprint will be merging with Nextel, at least if the merger is approved by stockholders and the FTC. There’s even talk that Verizon might want in on this deal. If that happens, then T-Mobile would be puny compared to the others in the U.S. market and so would probably be gobbled up Cingular. So in a year or two we could basically have two mobile phone companies in the U.S. – one for GSM and one for CDMA.

Don’t get me wrong, a certain amount of consolidation is good for the consumer, but in general the less competition, the less hard a company has to work to win or keep you as a customer. You may consider 2 companies enough competition for each other, but the fact that they use different mobile technologies that are imcompatible means that consumers will have to buy new phones when they switch from one to another. This isn’t a huge problem if you paid $50 for a little cameraphone with rebates, but what about smartphones that start at $300?

The decisions that these companies make are not always in the best interest of the customer, but rather of the company and its stockholders. Often this does benefit the customer, but sometimes not. I’ve had first-hand experience with some of these decisions with T-Mobile’s Sidekick II. First and foremost, and the reason that I dropped the phone eventually, was the refusal on T-Mobile’s part to offer a solution to synching your phone data with MS Outlook or other personal information management tool, despite the fact that such a solution had been created. This was, as far as I can guess, a marketing decision. T-Mobile decided their target market for the phone wouldn’t be interested in it. Of course there were lots of people who bought the phone who didn’t exist in this target market and all of our pleas were just ignored. But even within this target market, there was a decision to cripple the ability for the phone to either record audio or to use recorded audio as a ring tone. You could listen to it on the phone – say wav file as an attachment to an email, but you couldn’t use that as a ringtone. This was much more a business decision. As phone companies have been forced to continually lower their rates for just talking due to COMPETITION, they have been seeking other sources of revenue, and ringtones is one of these. They concluded, of course, that if they allowed people to create their own ringtones, they might not be able to charge $2 for 15 seconds of “music.” When the Treo 650 came out a few weeks ago on Sprint, we learned that it would be available ONLY on Sprint for the rest of this year, and possibly until at least February, 2005. This was some kind of strategic partnering deal that Sprint and Pa1mOne must have signed. Admittedly this is better than the complete stranglehold of exclusivity that T-Mobile has over the Sidekick, but it still, I think, is bad for the consumer in general. Then we hear that Sprint would disable the Bluetooth functionality so that users could not use their 650 as a cellular modem. There was an uproar causing Sprint to say that there would be a patch to download which would remove this restriction, but this is nothing new. This kind of policy has existed for T-Mobile and Voicestream before it for years, mainly because they sell their own cellular modems for laptops and charge extra rates for these. Finally, the whole issue of why Wifi has not been made available for the Treo, I’m sure, is due in large part to Pa1mOne’s wanting to be in good standing with carriers. Let me explain. First of all, Wifi capability for a smartphone means that you could potentially use it to make voice calls via internet telephony/Voice Over IP. This of course, would mean that you would circumvent the whole model of minutes for cell phones and could significantly cut down on the number of those minutes. You wouldn’t even be using the carrier’s data network, but rather some other person’s (or your own) internet connection via wifi. While rates have gone down significantly over the last 10 years, they are still not low enough to where making this loophole available wouldn’t strip the companies of a decent amount of revenue. After all, if you go over your monthly allotment of minutes by just 15, you could end up paying a couple extra dollars per month. Multiply that by a few million, and you see how big a deal it could be. Smartphone manufacturers could certainly sell unlocked phones for at least the GSM carriers and they could be usable whether your carrier sells you that phone or you buy it from some guy in Indonesia. However, CDMA carriers like Sprint and Verizon do not use sims, the chips that you can move from phone to phone and thus use any compatible phone, at least they don’t yet. But even if they did, it would still be hard to find the phone in mainstream retail channels. The carriers stores themselves wouldn’t sell them, of course, but neither would places like Best Buy or Circuit city, or Radio Shack, which partner with various carriers to sell not only phones but service contracts. I’m sure their partnership agreements give the carriers a right to tell them which phones they can and can’t sell.

So, what’s the solution? To be honest I’m not exactly sure. I’m a little pessimistic, especially with all the mergers. There are a few possibilities that I see that could make all of this moot, but how realistic they are I have no idea. One possibility which I think is least likely is the making of cellular communications into a regulated utility. Already we have seen some municipalities like Philadelphia agreeing to make Wifi available for free to all its residents and visitors. The importance of the internet as a resource for almost everything from communication to information has accelerated in huge ways and will continue to do so for the foreseeable future, making it so critical a service that people will demand ubiquitous access. Even President Bush has hinted at free access for everyone being an eventual goal. But the telephone became an indispensable thing last century and what happened toward the end? It got deregulated! Not that regulation is necessarily a good thing, since it’s been known to hamper innovation. Another possibility is that an upstart might come in and one-up the big guys to provide something far more innovative than what these others could see. When companies merge with each other, they can often get so bloated that innovation is also hindered. We’ve seen this with airlines and Jet Blue, we’ve seen it with DSL and Covad, and we’ve seen it with the phone system and all the upstart VOIP providers like Vonage, Broadvoice, etc. You never know when one of these upstarts will come out of the woodwork and provide some new cutting edge technology like Wimax or a satellite-based system that makes cell towers irrelevant. While I’d love for something like this to happen, I can’t count on it, simply because these increasingly mammoth companies can throw all kinds of money at lawmakers to set up hurdles and roadblocks that make the innovators ability to offer these competitive service next to impossible. Yet another possibility might be that we start seeing some upstart electronics manufacturers offering devices that do everything, wifi, voice, etc., but these companies simply do not approach the carriers and sell only through the internet. I’m sure there are already cases like this, but as the percentage of the population who uses the internet grows, and the percentage of those who use CDMA phones (primarily in the US) decreases as countries like China and India become the dominant consumers, we may yet see such manufacturers become just as successful as the current major players like Nokia, Motorola, Sony-Erickson, and Samsung.

Which of these might happen, or which combination or other possibility that I haven’t even considered, I can’t say, but while things look somewhat bleak at the moment, you never know what could happen as new technologies come out, or new visionaries appear that can think up new ways of doing business most of us couldn’t imagine.

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